Arek Okrasa

BREXIT - HOW TO TRADE THE RELEASE ON FX MARKET
Recently we have talked to half a dozen forex brokerage firm`s CEOs. They have three points of view in common:
All their biggest clients stay flat during the event.... As many banks declare not to trade and the results take place during Asian session the spread may increase enormously. If the volume coming from institution is low it may be easier to shake the market by making a rapid move: up or down. From our perspective, you can expect up to 1000 pips up movement on GBP/USD or 15% drop if Britain decide to live the EU.
Remember, holding cash is also a position.
Risk Warning: Transactions in Contracts for Difference and Foreign Currency are leveraged products that can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for everyone. Please seek advice if you do not fully understand the risks.
http://london-trader.com/brexit-how-to-tr ade-the-release-o…/
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BREXIT - TRADE THE NEWS SEMINAR - STARTS ON MONDAY
As only three days left to the up coming seminar dedicated to Brexit - Trade The News, we would like to invite you to join the presentation.
During the event we will share new tools supporting Your trading during news releases and show how to take advantage from quick, but directional price movements.
... The seminar takes place on the 13th - 7pm in Canary Wharf.
To register, please click at the link bellow: http://london-trader.com/seminar/register -to-a-seminar/
We look forward to seeing you there.
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BREXIT - TRADE THE NEWS. FX SEMINAR ON THE 13th of June
As one of the most important events - BREXIT, is coming we have prepared tools which help you to trade a strong news release.
During the presentation we will share them with you and show how to take advantage from quick, but directional price movements.
... The seminar takes place on the 13th - 7pm in Canary Wharf.
To register, please click at the link bellow: http://london-trader.com/seminar/register -to-a-seminar/
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Meet AREK OKRASA in Dubai this week
LIFESTYLE TRADING PROGRAM - UP TO 6 MONTHS OF EDUCATION AND MENTORING IN FX
www.london-trader.com

TRADING MASTERCLASS - a must see FX education event.
LEX VAN DAM - ASHRAF LAIDI - ALEX SPIROGLOU - PHILIP KONCHAR - AREK OKRASA and others.
Out of 500, only a few places left. Use the link to register:... www.london-trader.com/seminars
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JOIN FX SEMINAR ON MONDAY - AT ONE CANADA SQUARE To register visit: http://london-trader.com/…/3-steps-to-b ecome-a-successful-…/

Dollar Index approaching the key 100 resistance level
Yesterday was a fairly quiet day in financial markets this is taking into consideration the Paris terror major attacks over the weekend. The Japanese Yen and Swiss franc opened the week higher on safe heaven attraction but both currencies ended the day lower across the board, stock indexes opened lower but came off low though-out the day. As analysts and traders see no major impact economic health. The euro ended the day d...own -0.50% lower vs the USD, but stayed firm against the Japanese Yen with a rally towards the end of European session. Eurozone inflation was revised slightly higher in the final report for October. A 0.1% monthly increase in the CPI was in line with expectations and enough to lift the zero percent yearly rate estimated in the flash data a tick higher to 0.1 percent. This was up 0.2% from its final September mark and that has month's decline. Looking forward today we have Inflation reports from the United Kingdom and the United states. With the DXY (US dollar) approaching the key 100 resistance level it should be interesting to see if it’s enough to set-of another rally heading into mid-week.
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Following the terror attacks in Paris over the weekend, I will expect the markets to become risk off in the short term (1-3 weeks) on the Tokyo open. We should expect to see the JPY, USD, CHF and Gold slightly strengthen over this period but don’t expect wild swings in the market. The attack was over the weekend and market participants have had time to digest the information flow so far. I will expect participants to have a rounded view of what has happened going into Monday,... so we shouldn’t expect to see any panic selling.
Global equities should continue their decline from last week especially stocks and indexes across Europe and the United states. This will be on the back of a risk of environment and an anticipated rate hike
Traders and Fund managers with exposer to the travel and tourism industry should expect to see large declines following the terror attacks. France has the largest number of tourists in the world and the sector accounts for almost 7.5 percent of GDP. This may also lead to a fall in visitors to France or tourism across Europe taking into consideration the Russian plane crash.

Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve is not the only central bank where virtually every word from policy makers is viewed for policy direction by investors and traders. The ECB, Bank of Japan and PBoC fall into this category as well.
Investors have carefully dissected speeches from U.S. Federal Reserve officials including Chair Janet Yellen, Vice Chair Stanley Fischer and regional Fed presidents William Dudley, Charles Evans and Jeffrey Lacker during the week. But so far, traders have been complaining that Fed speakers has provided little clarity as to when the Fed funds rate hikes will start. On the other hand, Investors are also looking at comments from the European Central Bank for signs of additional easing at its December meeting. Also in Japan where expectations are for the second consecutive quarter of negative growth in the third quarter and yet another technical recession.
With the latest NFP reading a 271,000 headline payroll surge, upped the odds for the Fed’s big move. But the strength of the employment report didn’t point to strength for retail sales nor to strength for the PPI report continue to showed no growth whatsoever.

Looking ahead
Manufacturing and housing will be the features of the week including a key update on inflation. Empire State, a key report that back in August decisively signaled a break lower for the factory sector, starts off the week with the first indication on November’s activity followed on Thursday by the Philadelphia Fed report which has also been weak.
Industrial production on Tuesday will offer the first indications on October’s factory activity and a needed bounce for the manufacturing component is expected.
Consumer prices will also be posted on Tuesday and some pressure is expected. But whatever the results, the CPI is capable of affecting December FOMC expectations.
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GBP/USD and EUR/USD IN FOCUS
GBP/USD is consolidating at the moment suggesting further up movement. A break above the formed rectangle gives the possibility of reaching 1.5317 level (61.8% Fib level counted from 1.5495 to 1.5029). If this is the case, yesterday`s analysis for EUR/USD may not be valid as these pairs are still highly correlated.
A strong up movement on GBP/USD will give a signal that EUR/USD should follow. In both currency pairs the situation is not clear right... now. It may pays off to wait for the confirmation first. Especially after the terrorist attack in Paris, the USD dollar may strengthen on Sunday`s open.
Risk Warning: Transactions in Contracts for Difference and Foreign Currency are leveraged products that can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for everyone. Please seek advice if you do not fully understand the risks.
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IS EUR/USD PREPARED TO MOVE TO 1.0600 LEVEL?
The EUR/USD, on a 4 hour chart, looks as it is prepared to move to the lover band of the descending channel. Caution is always needed, however the 1.0600 level is our next target.
Risk Warning: Transactions in Contracts for Difference and Foreign Currency are leveraged products that can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for everyone. Please seek advice if you do not fully understand the risks.

USD/JPY has formed a bullish flag on 4h chart. The flag is not broken yet, however when it happens we may be prepared for a further up movement to 125 level (in the mid term).
Risk Warning: Transactions in Contracts for Difference and Foreign Currency are leveraged products that can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for everyone. Please seek advice if you do not fully understand the risks.