Trader'S Diary

Why does 95% of traders lose?
Interesting statistics of principles about traders will explain to you, why most of the people lose money on the exchange.
🔸 Intraday traders provide 12% of daily trading activity.... 80% of intraday traders leave the market within the first 2 years. 🔸 40% of intraday traders participate in trades every day only for 1 month, only 13% remain on the market for three years and only 7% for five years. 🔸 Intraday traders sell profitable shares at a rate 50% higher than unprofitable. Profitable shares are 60% of sales, unprofitable - 40%. 🔸 Traders with 10-year negative unprofitable experience continue to work in the market and enter into transactions. 🔸 Men trade more actively than women. Unmarried men - more than married. 🔸 Only 1.6% of intraday traders make profit by the end of the year.
Most traders fail because they are guided by unreliable sources of information or emotions. And, in the same time to be successful, trading should be approached with a cold head and well-constructed strategic plan.
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Loan growth helps JPMorgan beat expectations despite trading decline
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Wall Street bounces back; technology, industrials lead
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Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday
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Flocking instinct in trading
Any trader, opening a trade, subconsciously draws attention to the behavior of the other traders. Beginners, as a rule, blindly follow the trend of the masses. These traders generally adhere to the well known investment saying "the trend is your friend".
Next to each loser is the winner... The crowd can not take smart decisions, its behaviour is emotionally guided and predictable. Therefore, considering its weaknesses, mistakes and bad trading planning, a trader can get a profit.
Flocking instinct can be used to create successful strategies. Many traders on the market watch their "colleagues", look for clues in their actions, follow emotions, join the masses instead of using their own brains and methods. When the market is not volatile these human weaknesses do not play a big role, but at key moments - growth or fall - they become the main source of profit for smart traders. Remember, next to each loser is the winner.
How to behave with the crowd trading Forex? Experienced traders recommend keeping a distance with the crowd. You can follow flocking instinct only when the market presents you with good opportunities. But be ready to completely change your strategy at any time. Each trader determines his "scheme of relations" with the crowd individually. The most popular strategies in behavior: - ahead - entering the position in a narrow range by the setups before the sharp jump in quotations; - behind - correction, the ability to act on a rollback; - together - entering the trade, when the price has already started to change dartingly; - against - selling breakouts and buying breakdowns at a price osciliation and technical indicators.
Be reasonable and choose your own strategy of behavior with the crowd. Trade successful and get good profits.
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Dollar holds firm against yen, major peers on strong U.S. inflation
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EUR / USD EWA - TimeFrame - 1D
❗Trading Signals: 📈 buy 1. 16809... s/l 1.15270 t/p 1.20000
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EUR / USD EWA - TimeFrame - 1W
Key Levels - 1.15101, 1.2000, 1.08490
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World Cup good for French economic growth: finance minister
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Bitcoin Tumbles; Philippines Central Bank Approves Two Cryptocurrency Exchanges
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Stock markets roiled as U.S. ups ante in trade conflict
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Stocks- U.S. Futures Inch Forward as Earnings Season Kicks Off
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Top 5 Things To Know In The Market On Tuesday
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SoftBank tightens grip on Yahoo Japan via $2 billion deal with Altaba
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The US continues to create plenty of net new jobs, but earnings growth softened. The jump in the participation rate from 62.7% to 62.9% looks responsible for the rise in the unemployment rate to 4.0% from 3.8%. Underemployment also rose (7.8% from 7.6%).
Nonfarm payrolls rose 213k, about 20% more than expected and the previous two months were revised higher by 37k (11k in May and 26k in April). Job growth averaged 205k a month in Q2 after 218k average in Q1 and 221k average i...n Q4 17. Keep in mind that non-farm payrolls by itself are a poor predictor of GDP growth. Although non-farm payrolls growth was slower than the previous two quarters, GDP in Q2 appears to have accelerated.
Average hourly earnings rose 0.2%, which while less than the expected 0.3%, is in line with the longer-term averages. The year-over-year pace of 2.7% is unchanged but at the upper end of where it has been in recent years. Moreover, hourly earnings growth exceeds CPI and productivity. US manufacturing added 36k jobs, the most this year. The auto sector accounted for a third of these jobs, the most in nearly a year. Recall that June auto sales were the best in the Q2 and the second best of the year. Government payrolls increased by 11k, the most in a year. Despite the slightly disappointing earnings growth, the data does not pose any challenge to the current trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and a rate hike in September, despite trade concerns.
Separately the US reported the May trade deficit that was in line with forecasts. At $43.1 bln, it was the smallest since October 2016. The US exported twice the dollar value of soybeans ($4.1 bln) than civilian aircraft ($1.9 bln). The soy exports doubled in May over April, perhaps as there was a rush to be the imposition of tariffs. Overall, though the US trade deficit with China widened to $32 bln from $30.8 bln. In real terms, that is adjusted for prices, the US trade deficit fell by almost $2 bln to its smallest level since March 2017. Trade could make a small positive contribution to Q2 GDP.
The US dollar and interest rates eased after the data. The Canadian dollar lagged. Of note, the euro is trading at new three-week highs, reaching almost $1.1765. The dollar initially eased to JPY110.45. The week's low is just below JPY110.30. Sterling approached yesterday's high before stalling. It remains vulnerable to Brexit headlines today.
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BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States and China slapped tit-for-tat duties on $34 billion worth of the other's imports on Friday, with Beijing accusing Washington of triggering the "largest-scale trade war" ever in a sharp escalation of their months-long conflict.
Hours before Washington's deadline for the tariffs to take effect, U.S. President Donald Trump upped the ante, warning that the United States may ultimately target over $500 billion worth of Chinese goods...
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Top 5 Things to Know in the Market on Friday
Friday, July 6:
1. China accuses U.S. of beginning largest trade war ever
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TOP 3 THINGS TO WATCH TODAY
1. June Payrolls Expected to Rise 200,000 With Jobless Rate Steady
The U.S. Labor Department will issue what are widely considered among the most important economic numbers Friday at 8:30 AM ET (12:30 GMT) when it releases figures for June employment.
... Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to have risen by 200,000 last month, compared with a rise of 223,000 in May.
Economists expect that the unemployment rate stayed steady at 3.8% last month, matching the low last seen in April 2000. That’s as low as the jobless rate has been since it hit 3.5% in December 1969.
Average hourly earnings are forecast to have risen 0.3% in June, the same as the month before.
According to Thursday’s ADP report, private employers added 177,000 jobs in June, fewer than the 190,000 gain economists predicted. Private sector jobs growth was revised to 189,000 in May from a previously reported 178,000.
As payrolls keep increasing, investors will be looking for signs from companies that the move toward full employment is impacting their ability to fill positions with qualified personnel.
2. U.S.-China Tariffs Going Into Effect
Even with the jobs numbers coming out, market volume will be low on a holiday-week summer Friday. That will make an already trade-talk-sensitive market susceptible to jawboning from either the U.S. or its allies.
The market was buoyed by reports on Thursday that the U.S. would be willing to forego any tariffs on European Union vehicles if the EU lifted duties on American autos.
The Nasdaq OMX global auto index finished the day about 1.2% higher.
Also, the tit-for-tat $34 billion tariffs between the U.S. and China go into effect tomorrow at 12:01 AM ET (04:01 GMT). China has said it will not fire the first shot, but will act in response to U.S. tariffs.
The Federal Reserve minutes for the June rate meeting indicated some concern of the FOMC about the economic impact of tariffs.
“Most participants noted that uncertainty and risks associated with trade policy had intensified and were concerned that such uncertainty and risks eventually could have negative effects on business sentiment and investment spending,” the minutes said.
3. Look out for Yield Curve Jitters
Financial stocks may see some bigger-than-usual moves, especially with the low volume tomorrow, as investors speculate about the yield curve.
The yield curve is especially important to banks, which pay out at lower short-term rates, but loan at higher long-term rates. And it hit the Fed’s radar at its June meeting.
“A number of participants thought it would be important to continue to monitor the slope of the yield curve, given the historical regularity that an inverted yield curve has indicated an increased risk of recession in the United States,” the Fed minutes said.
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